What is the economic outlook for the region in 2015, and what are the risks? We expect sub-Saharan Africa to register a growth of 4.7 per cent, accelerating to 5.2 per cent in 2016. The risks include the slow growth environment in advanced economies particularly the Euro area and Japan; the potential volatility and financial disruption as a result of monetary policies operating at different places in the cycle; geopolitical risks and any others that suddenly hit the globe. For example, a year and half ago, we never talked about Ebola because it wasn’t an issue. Now it has affected countries in West Africa. There are concerns about debt with the International Monetary Fund. Kenya, for instance, has been borrowing from the IMF. What are the long-term solutions to foreign exchange support loans for African countries? Kenya asked for a precautionary loan — it is a progression that we observe concerning Kenya and one that is moving in the right direction because it is an indication that the country is more solid economically. A country such as Kenya, depending on how the oil market pans out, could find itself with a good balance of trade and improve its balance of payments. Given that domestic resources in the region remain meagre, how can countries avoid accumulating high debt while addressing infrastructure gaps? The critical choice hinges on what infrastructure projects are prioritised and how they will provide a return that helps the country financially so that it is on a stronger...
To be stable, the region should invest in joint mega projects
Posted on: February 23, 2015
Posted on: February 23, 2015